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	<title>Stock Investment</title>
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		<title>earn How To Earn More</title>
		<link>http://www.certificate-solutions.com/earn-how-to-earn-more.html</link>
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		<pubDate>Thu, 17 May 2012 04:05:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Stock Investment]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[To earn more money is the dream of all of us. It can’t be achieved if you remain stuck with your 9-5 a day job because you don’t get that sufficient exposure in such jobs. To get more money you need to learn more of some creative way of earning it. Starting a business with [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>To earn more money is the dream of all of us. It can’t be achieved if you remain stuck with your 9-5 a day job because you don’t get that sufficient exposure in such jobs. <span id="more-620"></span>To get more money you need to <a href="http://www.cashnow.com/">learn more</a> of some creative way of earning it. Starting a business with an innovative plan may prove fruitful in such situation. You can either start delivering things on behalf of some company where you get the payment instantly as soon as you make the delivery immediately. Or you can just starting of selling items which are in much demand in the market. But for this you first need to point out your customers which are very essential.</p>
<p>These works or plans require huge effort and dedicated hard work to fulfill and give the desired result. You can earn more once you have set your platform in a certain business field strong enough. But before you start a business you should be well prepared for it otherwise you may find yourself in problem in the near future. So gear up and start working from today only if you really want to make more money and lead a luxurious life with all types of pleasures.</p>
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		<title>You Can Get a No Credit Check Cash Loan</title>
		<link>http://www.certificate-solutions.com/you-can-get-a-no-credit-check-cash-loan.html</link>
		<comments>http://www.certificate-solutions.com/you-can-get-a-no-credit-check-cash-loan.html#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 27 Mar 2012 03:27:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Stock Investment]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Is your credit score historical past bad? You might wish to take into account getting a no credit test money loan from Jacksons Payday Company.
How a Fast Cash No Credit score Examine Mortgage Works? If you applied for a no credit check cash loans, or payday mortgage, the lending firms does not verifying your credits. [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Is your credit score historical past bad? You might wish to take into account getting a no credit test money loan from <a href="http://www.jacksonspayday.co.uk/">Jacksons Payday</a> Company.</p>
<p>How a Fast Cash No Credit score Examine Mortgage Works? If you applied for a <a href="http://jacksonspayday.co.uk/">no credit check cash loans</a>, or payday mortgage, the lending firms does not verifying your credits. Many money advance companies will lend you money if you make eight hundred dollar to one thousand dollar or more a month.</p>
<p>There is each fax less and paperless a bad credit score small loans as well as payday loans that do require you to fax in info to verify your income. With the intention to improve their business, increasingly online payday mortgage firms give you a fax less no credit score examine cash loan.</p>
<p>The one and only disadvantage of the payday loan is that if you examine the rates of interest to credit cards and financial institution loans it&#8217;s a lot higher. That is as a result of horrible credit small loans are excessive risk, quick time period loans. The payday loan company costs high curiosity to steadiness out their risk. The best factor you are able to do is comparing the interest and charges that payday loan corporations charge.</p>
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		<title>Stock Investments :Added More SPY Exposure</title>
		<link>http://www.certificate-solutions.com/stock-investments-added-more-spy-exposure.html</link>
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		<pubDate>Sun, 04 Mar 2012 13:03:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Stock Investment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Finance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SPY]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stock Picks]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[In my end of the month summary I said I planned to increase my stock exposure and thought I was going to do it yesterday.  Instead, my day was far busier at my non-financial related contract job and I only had time to make a couple of trades for clients and none for me.  I [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In my end of the month summary I said I planned to increase my stock exposure and thought I was going to do it yesterday.  Instead, my day was far busier at my non-financial related contract job and I only had time to make a couple of trades for clients and none for me.  I [...]<span id="more-578"></span><br />
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<b>Article Content</b>:<br />
In my end of the month summary I said I planned to increase my stock exposure and thought I was going to do it yesterday.  Instead, my day was far busier at my non-financial related contract job and I only had time to make a couple of trades for clients and none for me.  I could&#8217;ve squeezed it in, but with the market barely clinging to support I thought it might be wise to wait to see how the jobs data came out this morning.  Apparently I should&#8217;ve trusted support yesterday, because the employment numbers were very encouraging and the market gaped higher at the open.  At roughly double the expected number for private payroll increases, the market had reason to be giddy.<br/><br />
I saw the S&amp;P 500 open almost directly in the center of the ascending trading channel I&#8217;ve been watching and figured SPY would be a quick and easy way to gain market exposure.  While SPY was trading at 3.96 I sold one SPY March 2 naked put for .23 and received 2.42 after commissions.  By no means is this an aggressive play.  The strike is below the intraday lows for the past three days, below the two trend lines of higher lows I&#8217;m tracking and below the 10 day moving average.  It only allows for a 1.71% gain (14.4% annualized) in the next six weeks and a day.  SPY can fall 3.09% and still leave me at break even.  The ETF can even drop 1.4% and I&#8217;ll still take a full profit.<br/><br />
I chose this specific strike for a couple of reasons.  I wanted the time horizon to be short.  February expiration was too short which made the premiums too small, so March was the next best expiration.  Also, I didn&#8217;t see the need to be overly aggressive when I was so excited about the jobs report and the ISM Service Index report.  Sometimes the excitement can push me (or any trader) into taking excessive risks.  Making 14.4% on top of my 6+% gains I&#8217;ve already earned this year will make me happy enough.  Also, I&#8217;m not done trading.  I&#8217;m going to continue adding more exposure as this option and my other stock index ETFs pull farther out of the money.  My February DIA and IWM puts are getting cheap enough that I&#8217;ll probably buy them back on Monday or Tuesday and roll them to higher strikes further down the calendar.  Lastly, this trade brings me up to almost fully invested, but with a lot of out of the money puts in place.  I&#8217;ll push my account over 100% invested in the coming weeks, but with out of the money puts in most instances.  I&#8217;m all about the higher probability trades lately with the theory that I&#8217;ll be able to reach my goals with frequent small bites.<br/><br />
I&#8217;ll be able to continue buying my puts back for next to nothing prior to expiration if the market continues to charge ahead like it has been.  This shortens the time horizon that I originally used in my calculations and improves my annualized gains each time I successfully roll an option out further in time and to a higher strike.  By staying out of the money when writing my new naked puts I&#8217;m setting myself up to move further ahead of the markets&#8217; returns when the inevitable next correction hits equities.<br/></p>
<p>
&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;</p>
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		<title>Stock Market Investment :S&amp;P 500 Chart – February 3, 2012</title>
		<link>http://www.certificate-solutions.com/stock-market-investment-sp-500-chart-%e2%80%93-february-3-2012.html</link>
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		<pubDate>Sun, 04 Mar 2012 13:03:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Stock Investment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[$SPX]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Finance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Indices]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stock Charts]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[This S&#38;P 500 ($SPX) chart shows the past three months of daily prices after the index finished the week at 1,344.90 on Friday, February 3, 2012. Three trend lines stand out in this chart.  All are ascending.  The lowest line traces the trend of higher lows that started in

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Article Content:
This S&#38;P 500 ($SPX) chart shows the past three [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This S&#38;P 500 ($SPX) chart shows the past three months of daily prices after the index finished the week at 1,344.90 on Friday, February 3, 2012. Three trend lines stand out in this chart.  All are ascending.  The lowest line traces the trend of higher lows that started in<span id="more-577"></span><br />
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<b>Article Content</b>:<br />
This S&amp;P 500 ($SPX) chart shows the past three months of daily prices after the index finished the week at 1,344.90 on Friday, February 3, 2012.<br/></p>
<p>Three trend lines stand out in this chart.  All are ascending.  The lowest line traces the trend of higher lows that started in November.  The top line tracks the trend of higher highs and the middle line follows the trend of higher lows, but only since late December.  The top two trend lines create the boundaries of the trading channel that the SPX has been trading within for a month and a half.  Each touch of the upper trend line (as seen on Friday) results in a flat to lower market for the following few days until the lower trend line catches up to offer support.  This trading channel will break apart at some point and the cracks tend to come to the downside, especially after such a long run within a narrow path.  That is when the lowest trend line will be tested again.  This line is not much lower, but would give the index a much needed rest period to consolidate its gains.  A fall below this trend line could foreshadow much bigger losses to come before another area of support is identified by traders.<br/><br />
While the trend lines battle out support and resistance, the moving averages have their predictions to make.  The large cap index is trading above all of its moving averages from as short as 5 days to 200 days.  This is a bullish sign in itself, but always comes to an end eventually.  The first key moving average to watch is the 10 day moving average (dma).  The SPX has not had a full day trading below the 10 dma since mid-December, when the last mini-correction bottomed out.  This past week saw multiple intraday crosses of the line which in itself is a red flag for bulls.  Early in the week the S&amp;P closed on the moving average one day and beneath it the next day.  If the following day would&#8217;ve been a confirmation day lower, chartists would have expected a much bigger sell-off to ensue.  Instead it recovered and kept the bears off the playing field a little longer.<br/><br />
Traders will quickly shift their attention to the nearest area of potential support once the 10 dma breaks.  This will result in a sudden drop in stock prices until the index reaches its target.  That target could be the 50 dma which just had a bullish crossover above the 200 dma.  Moving average crossovers that see a shorter time frame move above a longer time frame tend to signal better days ahead.  Unlike trading channels marked by trend lines, rallies defined by moving averages do not move in such straight paths.  A retest of the 50 dma would be considered healthy before the next leg of the bull market took place.  If traders see support work at the 50 dma they will pull money off the sidelines and into stocks very quickly and investors will be in store for another long run higher.<br/><br />
As with the trend lines and moving averages, the Williams %R indicator is not giving a sell signal yet, but does show a reason to suspect a period of consolidation is due.  As long as the indicator is in the gray overbought area then the rally still has momentum on its side.   Investors can expect further declines to follow once the indicator moves below -20 for at least two days in both the 14 and 28 day periods.  When the indicator climbs above the -1.0 area as it did on Friday, the next few days tend to be flat to lower.  In other words, Williams %R is in agreement with the trend lines.  While the future has promise, the next few days are not the time to buy into it.  While an active trader might risk shorting the index now, an investor with a longer time horizon would be wise to wait for a clearer bearish signal before taking profits.<br/><br />
<br/></p>
<p>
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		<title>Stock Investment :Rolling Options Higher</title>
		<link>http://www.certificate-solutions.com/stock-investment-rolling-options-higher.html</link>
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		<pubDate>Sun, 04 Mar 2012 13:03:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Stock Investment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[DIA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Finance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[IWM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stock Picks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[TLT]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[I probably should&#8217;ve gotten to this sooner, but hopefully it&#8217;s better late than never.  The past few days have been flat to lower (as I predicted in my index post on Sunday).  That has given the indexes a small period of consolidation and some more room for upside potential.

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I probably should&#8217;ve gotten to this [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I probably should&#8217;ve gotten to this sooner, but hopefully it&#8217;s better late than never.  The past few days have been flat to lower (as I predicted in my index post on Sunday).  That has given the indexes a small period of consolidation and some more room for upside potential.<span id="more-576"></span><br />
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<b>Article Content</b>:<br />
I probably should&#8217;ve gotten to this sooner, but hopefully it&#8217;s better late than never.  The past few days have been flat to lower (as I predicted in my index post on Sunday).  That has given the indexes a small period of consolidation and some more room for upside potential.  The chance for a reasonable correction is still in place to take the indexes lower by 5% or so and even up to 10% on some bad news out of Greece.  I don&#8217;t think that&#8217;s highly probably and doubt much more than 10% will hit us in the near term.<br/><br />
My February options had grown pretty cheap, so I decided to roll a couple of them out to March at higher prices.  This is different than my strategy in previous years.  I used to just add another leg for the new contract and leave the old one in place to squeeze out another  from the one I thought would expire worthless.  I&#8217;m trying to be better this year by avoiding the greed of every cent and focusing on rolling options higher to reduce my downside risk in a bigger correction than I expect.  The gains I&#8217;ve made haven&#8217;t made up for the losses I&#8217;ve taken when I&#8217;ve been wrong.<br/><br />
With all of that in mind, I started with DIA.  While DIA was trading at 8.47 I bought to close one DIA February 4 naked put for $content.23 and at the same time sold to open one DIA March 7 naked put for .05 and received 0.69 after commissions for the diagonal spread.  When looking at the new put only, I have a potential gain of 1.63% or 15.5% annualized.  I can withstand a drop of 2.73% before I take a loss on this higher strike.  I only had 0.17% upside in the February put, so this is much better for me.<br/><br />
Less than an hour later I moved on to IWM.  While IWM was trading at .34 I bought to close on IWM February  naked put for $content.19 and at the same time sold to open one March  naked put for .62 and received 1.69 after commissions.  This new March option gives me a potential gain of 2.06% or 19.5% annualized.  IWM can drop 4.80% before I take a loss on this contract.  The February put I abandoned only had 0.24% upside to it which made this one much better for me too.<br/><br />
I sold both of these new puts out of the money because I&#8217;m not terribly confident in how much upside stocks have before they at least take a small pause or even slide lower.  Even with my lack of certainty on the direction of the market, I still feel it&#8217;s better to be investing with the bulls at this stage than holding back too much out of fear.  My other puts are out of the money, except for my TLT February 8 put.<br/></p>
<p>After I wrote the part above and published this post my limit order for TLT hit and I just added this.<br/><br />
While TLT was trading at 6.35 I sold one TLT March 5 naked put for .20 and received 9.27 after commissions.  5 is where support has held on TLT for a few months and I think it will again.  If it does break support I&#8217;ll have a cost per share of 2.81 and will be getting a dividend yield of around 3.5%.  This will round out my bond allocation while I continue to write covered calls on my 200 shares from both legs of the options.  If TLT sinks, that will mean that stocks are up nicely most likely.  This trade gives me 1.94% upside potential (18.7% annualized) and I have a cushion to the downside of 3.05% before I lose anything.  Of course, I expect it won&#8217;t be assigned or I&#8217;ll have a chance to roll it lower for a profit in the worst case scenario.<br/><br />
I need to add more exposure to stocks still, but want a dip worth working first.  I&#8217;m 104.25% invested and part of that is in TLT as I just mentioned.  It will move opposite of stocks in most scenarios, so I don&#8217;t have that much likelihood of being assigned everything.  I also have DSX and UWM with covered calls in the money that are on track to be sold when the options expire.  All, but two, of my puts are set to expire in March.  I&#8217;ll probably go ahead and leave a limit order in place for some April options at higher premium prices to see if I can catch a random single day dip.  I don&#8217;t feel I need to chase the market yet and that positions me well for leaving limit orders spread around with patience.<br/></p>
<p>
&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;</p>
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		<title>Stock Investment :INDU Chart – Testing Technical Indicators</title>
		<link>http://www.certificate-solutions.com/stock-investment-indu-chart-%e2%80%93-testing-technical-indicators.html</link>
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		<pubDate>Sun, 04 Mar 2012 13:03:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Stock Investment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[$DJI]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Finance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Indices]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stock Charts]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[I charted the past three months of daily prices for the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($INDU, $DJI, DJIA) after the index closed at 12,801.23 on Friday, February 10, 2012. Two weeks ago when I last charted the Dow, I suggested the index might have one more trip to the top of its trading

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Article Content:
I charted the [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I charted the past three months of daily prices for the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($INDU, $DJI, DJIA) after the index closed at 12,801.23 on Friday, February 10, 2012. Two weeks ago when I last charted the Dow, I suggested the index might have one more trip to the top of its trading<span id="more-575"></span><br />
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<b>Article Content</b>:<br />
I charted the past three months of daily prices for the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($INDU, $DJI, DJIA) after the index closed at 12,801.23 on Friday, February 10, 2012.<br/></p>
<p>Two weeks ago when I last charted the Dow, I suggested the index might have one more trip to the top of its trading channel before rolling over and falling outside of its trading channel for the first time since the beginning of December.  On cue it rallied to the top, kissed the upper trend line of higher highs and moved sideways until Friday when it took more of a jolt.  Now it&#8217;s testing a few technical indicators and is on the brink of a bigger fall.<br/><br />
On Friday, the 10 day moving average (dma) broke again intraday, but the INDU pulled back up to finish barely above the moving average.  Any intraday break like this is usually a warning that the trend is weakening, but that hasn&#8217;t been the case over the past two months.  The 20 dma has been more solid in its support and that strength worked again on Friday, right where the trend line of higher lows met with it.  I drew this trend line thin to try to keep both visible.  These are the main technical indicators to watch right now.  When they break, the Dow should lose another few percentage points quickly from there.<br/><br />
That day can&#8217;t be much farther down the road.  The two sides of the trading channel are drawing closer together and will converge soon.  That means both sides can&#8217;t &#8220;win&#8221;.  After such a long and steady rally, the bears will have the edge here.  Once these indicators give up support we should see a drop in the Williams %R indicator too.  The 14 day period has started to drift lower, as it did two weeks ago, but the 28 day period hasn&#8217;t fallen below the overbought range yet.  Until that happens I don&#8217;t see a solid reason to sell.<br/><br />
The next stop to the downside could be at the 50 dma, less than 4% below last week&#8217;s intraday high.  That might be all the buying opportunity needed to bring in more cash from money market accounts that have been waiting for a better entry point.  I want to see support there before buying in deeper, just in case it gets worse.<br/><br />
<br/></p>
<p>
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		<title>Stock Investment :Options Expiration – February 2012</title>
		<link>http://www.certificate-solutions.com/stock-investment-options-expiration-%e2%80%93-february-2012.html</link>
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		<pubDate>Sun, 04 Mar 2012 13:03:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Stock Investment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Finance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SPY. TLT]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stock Picks]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Last week I rolled two February options (DIA &#38; IWM) higher and farther out.  That left me with only two options that expired today.  I went one for two on picking the right strikes for these two that lasted until today.  I still made a profit on both, but one was only a few bucks [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Last week I rolled two February options (DIA &#38; IWM) higher and farther out.  That left me with only two options that expired today.  I went one for two on picking the right strikes for these two that lasted until today.  I still made a profit on both, but one was only a few bucks [...]<span id="more-574"></span><br />
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<b>Article Content</b>:<br />
Last week I rolled two February options (DIA &amp; IWM) higher and farther out.  That left me with only two options that expired today.  I went one for two on picking the right strikes for these two that lasted until today.  I still made a profit on both, but one was only a few bucks while the other was a full profit.  I opened new puts on both as each closed/expired today.<br/><br />
1 TLT February 8 naked put &#8211; This would have finished in the money, but I closed it in the morning, giving me a partial profit (.67).  While TLT was trading at 6.24 I bought to close one TLT February 8 naked put for .78 and paid 8.60 with commissions.  A few minutes later, while TLT was trading at 6.27 I sold to open one TLT March 5 naked put for .64 and received 2.97 after commissions.  I don&#8217;t know why I didn&#8217;t do this as a single diagonal spread order.  I&#8217;ll blame my past two days of being sick and barely eating on my weak mind.  I thought about taking the option assignment at 8 and selling a covered call, but when I compared the two choices, the naked put gave me a slightly better return, even with the March dividend included.  I stand to make a 1.44% gain (17.8% annualized) on the new naked put if it works out.  This gives me a 2.5% cushion before I take a loss below 3.37.  I probably used a strike that&#8217;s lower and more conservative than I needed to.  I still think the 4.50-115.00 area will hold support, but if not the slide could get steep quickly.  Also, I already have another TLT March 5 put in place, so my exposure is enough that I didn&#8217;t have to push the limit on my trade.<br/><br />
1 SPY February 4 naked put &#8211; This will finish out of the money giving me a full profit.  Knowing that my February put had virtually no chance of being assigned with only a handful of hours to go in the day, I decided to write another contract.  While trading at 6.12 I sold one SPY April 7 naked put for .49 and received 8.23 after commissions.  I went in the money with this one to give myself some more profit potential.  I&#8217;m 104% invested now, but 21% of that is in TLT which should move inversely to stocks.  Out of the remaining stocks allocation, everything is in out of the money puts or in the money calls.  I don&#8217;t have to rely on my new positions to soften any stock reversal.  My older positions are doing that enough as it is.  I went out to April on this one because every one of my other options expires in March.  I needed something farther out there.  It also gives SPY more time to move above 7 if it stumbles before then, which I actually think it will do.  If SPY does close above 7 when April options expire, I&#8217;ll make 3.38% (19.3% annualized) even while reducing my downside risk by 2.69%.  I&#8217;m still in the camp that believes there is more upside room in 2012 from today&#8217;s levels.  At the same time, I don&#8217;t think we only move higher from here.  A good 4-5% mini-correction would be very healthy for the markets right now.  If we get that, I think 2012 could end with an 18-20% gain.  If the markets wait too long before giving some back, we could have an ugly summer.<br/><br />
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		<title>Stock Investments :MidCap 400 Index Chart February 17, 2012</title>
		<link>http://www.certificate-solutions.com/stock-investments-midcap-400-index-chart-february-17-2012.html</link>
		<comments>http://www.certificate-solutions.com/stock-investments-midcap-400-index-chart-february-17-2012.html#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 04 Mar 2012 13:03:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Stock Investment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[$MID]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Finance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Indices]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stock Charts]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[I charted the past six months of daily prices for the S&#38;P 400 Mid-Cap Index ($MID.X) after the index closed at 984.60 on Friday, February 17, 2012. In most of my charts recently I&#8217;ve been posting three month periods of indexes.  The main reason was to be able to focus

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Article Content:
I charted the past six months [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I charted the past six months of daily prices for the S&#38;P 400 Mid-Cap Index ($MID.X) after the index closed at 984.60 on Friday, February 17, 2012. In most of my charts recently I&#8217;ve been posting three month periods of indexes.  The main reason was to be able to focus<span id="more-573"></span><br />
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<b>Article Content</b>:<br />
I charted the past six months of daily prices for the S&amp;P 400 Mid-Cap Index ($MID.X) after the index closed at 984.60 on Friday, February 17, 2012.<br/></p>
<p>In most of my charts recently I&#8217;ve been posting three month periods of indexes.  The main reason was to be able to focus on the near term trends without drawing too many lines on top of each other.  I stretched it out to six months today to include the longer trend lines of higher lows and higher highs.<br/><br />
The only trading channel that has mattered since the middle of December has been narrow and has run closely with the 10 day moving average (dma) for support.  That hasn&#8217;t changed.  The twist is a new influence might be in play again.  The trend line of higher lows that started at the very end of August and was touched at the end of October is back as a potential point of resistance.  If this longer trend line does act as resistance again, the move lower could go back towards 930 for the mid-cap index.  A dip like that would only be a 6% correction and should reset the balance somewhat after such a long narrow path higher.  Traders who missed the most recent run higher might be more willing to buy in again after a 5-6% move lower for fear of missing the next leg higher.  Depending on what the macroeconomic catalyst is that causes a move lower, we could see the mid-cap stock index move back to its 200 dma.  I don&#8217;t think we&#8217;re to the point of this moving average losing support yet.  So 9% lower from Friday&#8217;s intraday high might be the worst we could see in the near term.<br/><br />
Before that can happen the current tight trading channel has to give in and the chart doesn&#8217;t show signs of that yet.  The 10 dma has been breaking intraday more often lately, but the $MID continues to close above it by the end of each trading day.  The real lines to watch are going to be the shorter trend line of higher lows and the 20 dma.  Once these break for two closing days in a row, expect more of a slide.  At some point these two longer trend lines will converge and the index will fall below the lower one.  They still have too much room in between them to demand much worry yet, but since I rarely chart the mid-cap index it is worth pointing out in this chart.<br/><br />
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		<title>Stocks Investment :Sold MDY April Naked Put</title>
		<link>http://www.certificate-solutions.com/stocks-investment-sold-mdy-april-naked-put.html</link>
		<comments>http://www.certificate-solutions.com/stocks-investment-sold-mdy-april-naked-put.html#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 04 Mar 2012 13:03:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Stock Investment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Finance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MDY]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stock Picks]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[I&#8217;m really starting to like my patient approach to investing.  Early this afternoon I was considering another addition to my mid-cap exposure through the ETF MDY.  I thought we were likely to see another dip in the morning on Monday or Tuesday to take the ETF a little lower

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I&#8217;m really starting to like my [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;m really starting to like my patient approach to investing.  Early this afternoon I was considering another addition to my mid-cap exposure through the ETF MDY.  I thought we were likely to see another dip in the morning on Monday or Tuesday to take the ETF a little lower<span id="more-572"></span><br />
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<b>Article Content</b>:<br />
I&#8217;m really starting to like my patient approach to investing.  Early this afternoon I was considering another addition to my mid-cap exposure through the ETF MDY.  I thought we were likely to see another dip in the morning on Monday or Tuesday to take the ETF a little lower before it recovered again.  With that in mind, I entered a limit order to sell a new naked put on MDY and started 10 cents above the ask.  Since I&#8217;m already fully invested I didn&#8217;t have to worry if the order didn&#8217;t hit and really should&#8217;ve set the limit even higher.<br/></p>
<p>Within a couple of hours, MDY (and the rest of the equity indexes) started to melt a little lower and my order hit earlier than I expected.  While MDY was trading at 9.29 I sold one MDY April 4 naked put for .70 and received 8.97 after commissions.  I went so far out of the money because this trade bumps me up to 120% invested if everything is assigned.  By keeping my cost per share 5.01% below the ETF price when the order hit (and 5.4% where it was when I placed the order) I have some room to play with on a min-correction.  Even with such a cushion I still could make a gain of 2.17% (14.1% annualized).  It&#8217;s really even more than that considering I&#8217;m not using cash to back this put, but you get the point &#8211; it&#8217;s not a huge potential win if it works and not too shabby either.<br/><br />
I&#8217;ve thought about opening more exposure on oil since my UCO puts are getting so far out of the money, but now I&#8217;m just curious how this spike is going to play out.  If nothing else, it leads credence to the way I&#8217;ve been working UCO &#8211; pile in when oil is under  per barrel and continue adding to the position all of the way through the s and then wait for it to spike to exit.  If oil climbs much more I might open a put spread.  It&#8217;s going to be hard to open a new position this high up without some protection.<br/><br />
I&#8217;d like to add more exposure to small caps, but the IWM chart is starting to look iffy to me.  It&#8217;s been moving sideways for three weeks and until I see it break out higher I&#8217;m not willing to risk a move in the other direction.  Just below  appears to be the floor and around .50 looks like it might be the ceiling.<br/></p>
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		<title>Stocks Investment :Russell 2000 Index Chart – February 24, 2012</title>
		<link>http://www.certificate-solutions.com/stocks-investment-russell-2000-index-chart-%e2%80%93-february-24-2012.html</link>
		<comments>http://www.certificate-solutions.com/stocks-investment-russell-2000-index-chart-%e2%80%93-february-24-2012.html#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 04 Mar 2012 13:03:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Stock Investment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Finance]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[RUT]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[I charted the past three months of daily prices for the Russell 2000 Index ($RUT.X) after the index closed at 826.92 on Friday, February 24, 2012. The small cap index had a great rally from the middle of December through the first few days of February.  That&#8217;s when it broke

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I charted the past three months [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I charted the past three months of daily prices for the Russell 2000 Index ($RUT.X) after the index closed at 826.92 on Friday, February 24, 2012. The small cap index had a great rally from the middle of December through the first few days of February.  That&#8217;s when it broke<span id="more-571"></span><br />
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<b>Article Content</b>:<br />
I charted the past three months of daily prices for the Russell 2000 Index ($RUT.X) after the index closed at 826.92 on Friday, February 24, 2012.<br/></p>
<p>The small cap index had a great rally from the middle of December through the first few days of February.  That&#8217;s when it broke out of its narrow trading channel and then ran into a cement ceiling.  From there, the Russell 2000 moved sideways to slightly lower for the next three weeks.  This narrow horizontal channel has the index stuck between 810 and 830.  These are the two make it or break it levels for both sides.  A move outside, followed by a confirmation day or two should indicate another few weeks of movement in the same direction are in store for it.  The longest line shown below is the trend line of higher lows.  It broke twice intraday this week and even closed below it once, but didn&#8217;t get the confirmation day the bears needed to bring in a large number of sellers yet.  Still, it raises a red flag for the bulls who should be nervous by this point.  Until this trend line breaks, this sideways channel can be viewed as a healthy consolidation period.  The bears should have their turn again when it breaks.  Unfortunately for the bulls, the cement ceiling is still in place and by Monday these two lines will converge.<br/><br />
It&#8217;s possible the sideways trading channel could last a little longer, but the 20 day moving average (dma) is starting to cut through the 810 &#8211; 830 zone.  Because it&#8217;s a moving average it won&#8217;t climb above the trading channel like the trend lines have.  Instead it will flatten out if $RUT can&#8217;t find space above 830.  The 10 dma (not shown) has already started to flatten and even has moved a little lower recently.  In the very near term we should expect to see a 10/20 bearish crossover.  If the Williams %R indicator falls below the overbought range on both the 14 and 28 day periods we will know the bears are back at the reigns.<br/><br />
The big question when support breaks will be how far does the small cap index have to fall before it finds support again.  It could be just 4-5% is the only shake-up needed after such a long run and multi-week consolidation period.  If that doesn&#8217;t bring the bulls back, a move towards the 100 dma and 200 dma is reasonable to expect.  Typically the 100/200 dma crossover is bullish, so don&#8217;t expect a break below these lines.  It&#8217;s even odd to see a sell off at the time of a crossover, but the index is roughly 9% above these moving averages and at some point will require a reversion to the mean.  The past three weeks have helped, but a quick dip could satisfy that need very quickly and allow another strong rally to kick off through the spring.<br/><br />
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<p>
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